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Offline Oscar  
#251 Posted : 08 February 2009 14:51:04(UTC)
Oscar


Joined: 25/11/2003(UTC)
Posts: 783
Location: ,
Quote:
quote:Originally posted by river6109
<br />Model trains are produced with emotions and the consultans looked only at figures.

<font face="Verdana][size=2]That may be true. Still, 2008 and 2009 (so far) are the ONLY recent years EVER that I was genuinely interested in new Märklin! The Märklin stores that popped up looked very nice and befitting for a premium brand. They have some absolutely great models in the Hobby range, they have very nice starter kits and the overall catalogue is very nice indeed. In short, while I have not so much LOOKED at new Märklin since the early '70s, the current catalogue and branding of the company inspired me enough to actually buy new stuff (i.e. a starter set, the expansion sets C2-C5, a Ludmilla, a V80, and a Mobile Station). If you'd told me 3 years ago that by now I would have bought all this, I'd have laughed. Three years ago I actually sort of wanted the company to go down, because I was a bit ashamed of what they had to offer. But now, for the first time in 30-odd years, I find myself proud of current Märklin. Not only that, but I find myself as drawn to (part of) the current product line as I am to my old '60s models, and that's definitely emotion.

So I dunno if the consultants are to blame, or instead if they are the ones who got the improvements through that I like so much. Who knows? Either way, I hope that the company will pull through, because what they have to offer now is damn good and it smokes the competition.</font id="Verdana]
Offline laalves  
#252 Posted : 08 February 2009 23:41:44(UTC)
laalves


Joined: 10/02/2004(UTC)
Posts: 2,162
Location: Portugal
monster134,

That is the reality at ZA. However, in Europe it's a totally diferent story.

Look at this representative shop:

http://www.aat-net.de/in...&cPath=29_2903_30053

Atlas SD-40 retail at 138 euro. That's more than Märklin's hobby line.

At this store they don't carry Märklin. But checkout Brawa's BR216, full metal jacket for 123.75 euro. And it's soooooooooooo much better.

American rolling stock is very expensive here, and in terms of sheer sales volume, Europe is what counts.

To close my opinion on this: Märklin loks cost a lot of money. Yes, particularly considering we're in a deep recession. BUT, they are not, by any means, the most expensive. And when one compares equivalent models, they will be the best, most of the time.
Offline jeehring  
#253 Posted : 09 February 2009 02:35:08(UTC)
jeehring


Joined: 25/09/2003(UTC)
Posts: 2,786
Location: ,
Quote:
[size=1" face="Verdana" id="quote]quote:Originally posted by monster134
<br />
I had a look at the new Athearn BigBoys that were brought in last year.They sold for R4000 and flew off the shelves in 4 days flat.If you want to compare apples to apples...there you go.I can buy 2 Athearns for the price of one MArklin.






Looking at them <u>very </u>closely Athearn BB & Marklin BB are not the same object .

Now I would like to make an experience : making them running 15 hours a day and see which one stops and fails the first + the reason of the fail .

This kind of experience have been made already with other models .
Marklin Models or Fleischmann models show the longest running time before something broke .
The most interesting was not only how long it last .
The most instructive was : the reason why the models broke , which part , how , etc...
Offline jeehring  
#254 Posted : 09 February 2009 02:55:05(UTC)
jeehring


Joined: 25/09/2003(UTC)
Posts: 2,786
Location: ,
Quote:
[size=1" face="Verdana" id="quote]quote:Originally posted by I_love_Marklin_37538
<br />I wonder if M will still make the class 39,that one is a fantastic steamer


My priority for 2009
+ Capitol train with BB 9200
+ SBB Grey mouse
and one of those startset with new MS at fantastic price !

+ Depending on my budget : 2 or 3 more steamers + coaches .
Offline Larry  
#255 Posted : 09 February 2009 03:40:50(UTC)
Larry

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Posts: 1,443
Location: Northeast Ohio
I find reading the point-counter point in this thread exhausting especially in view of the situation but I also realize the contributors are well-intended.

I'm interested only in the way forward and wish the employees, owners and the legacy of Marklin well in staying a going-concern for another 150 years.
Offline mrmarklin  
#256 Posted : 09 February 2009 04:31:42(UTC)
mrmarklin

United States   
Joined: 27/10/2004(UTC)
Posts: 948
Location: Burney, CA
Interestng comments.

I just got off the plane from going to ToyFair, and of course the place was abuzz with rumors. So I actually talked to a Marklin official.

Marklin has filed for the US equivalent of Chapter 11, and a trustee has been appointed. It will continue operating normally for at least the next month, and probably a lot longer, until its problems are resolved. We must remember that the debt is largely held by Wuerttemberg banks, who are essentially local to Marklin, understand the iconic brand, and the value of the facilities, tooling etc. The banks have no interest in running a toy company, but they have way too much invested to just let it go "down the tubes". Management changes will be made, and the equity that Kingsbridge had is gone. They are done. The future is uncertain, but overall management is optimistic.

As a side note, the news of the insolvency is all over the German papers, even the front page of national news. And of course it made the TV news as well, such is the power of the brand among the German people.

And no, the fact that Maerklin does not do all of its passenger coaches in 1:87 has absolutely nothing to do with the current problems. In fact 1:87 coaches are known as "shelf queens" thoughout Germany because they don't sell. Mostly Americans care about that stuff.

Dave PryorCool
From the People's Republik of Kalifornia
Offline Armando  
#257 Posted : 09 February 2009 05:28:17(UTC)
Armando

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Joined: 21/07/2003(UTC)
Posts: 1,358
Location: Houston, Texas
Quote:
[size=1" face="Verdana" id="quote]quote:Originally posted by mrmarklin
... In fact 1:87 coaches are known as "shelf queens" thoughout Germany because they don't sell...



"I can believe anything, provided that it is quite incredible." -Oscar Wilde
Best regards,
Armando García

Offline mvd71  
#258 Posted : 09 February 2009 06:13:27(UTC)
mvd71

New Zealand   
Joined: 09/08/2008(UTC)
Posts: 1,946
Location: Auckland,
Quote:
[size=1" face="Verdana" id="quote]quote: In fact 1:87 coaches are known as "shelf queens" thoughout Germany because they don't sell.


That's interesting to hear, because so much of what we base our comments on is from our local experience of marklin, and we seldom get an idea of what the average european is buying.

Offline Larry  
#259 Posted : 09 February 2009 06:47:18(UTC)
Larry

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Posts: 1,443
Location: Northeast Ohio
I can't believe that the scale of 1:87 is even remotely related to a discussion thread about Marklin financing. Yikkes.
Offline mike c  
#260 Posted : 09 February 2009 07:30:51(UTC)
mike c

Canada   
Joined: 28/11/2007(UTC)
Posts: 8,271
Location: Montreal, QC
Quote:
[size=1" face="Verdana" id="quote]quote:Originally posted by mrmarklin
And no, the fact that Maerklin does not do all of its passenger coaches in 1:87 has absolutely nothing to do with the current problems. In fact 1:87 coaches are known as "shelf queens" thoughout Germany because they don't sell. Mostly Americans care about that stuff.


One more (and final time).

I never said that this was the only reason that the company was in trouble. I did say that the failure to compete in that segment of the market was likely one of many contributing factors to the decline in revenue that Maerklin has faced in the last years.

If 1:87 models are known in Germany as "shelf queens" why do I often have a very hard time finding them because they are "sold out"? Yet, most Maerklin models seem to be much easier to find. If there are models that sit on shelves at dealers while other items are sold out it is because that dealer doesn't know how to properly stock his product. Ordering too much of item A and insufficient numbers of item B is what causes "shelf queens". I learned that one while working as a buyer and salesman for European trains at a local hobby shop. It is interesting to note that the LS Models concept of manufacturing small series (500-1000) of an item seems to be working well. Successful models then reappear with alternate numbers or alternate liveries, which help defray the cost of the development of the molds.

Maerklin should have stepped up and competed with LS Models and the other companies. At that time, Maerklin was concentrating on building it's clientele in the Benelux states and France, and this was a big opportunity that they missed.

That being said, the final nail in the coffin was outside of Maerklin's control as the bank refused to extend additional credit and called in it's markers and the company could not secure a new source of financing by the deadline. Certainly, the consultant fees contributed to enlarge the debt, and the company was placed in a very precarious position by the policies of Kingsbridge and Goldman Sachs.
The economic crisis, especially in the banking sector went a long way to bringing the issue to a head at this time.

But the fact remains, that if Maerklin would have had better sales and would not have lost as much of it's market share to AC locomotives and 1:87 rolling stock from other manufacturers, the 20 million dollar loss posted by the company could have been a lot less and the company just might have avoided the present situation.

I don't claim to know exactly how much this would have brought to Maerklin's coffers, but the figures of sales for AC models by Roco and other companies and the sales of 1:87 coaches with AC wheelsets must be available somewhere.

If Maerklin sold 126 million Euros of regular stock, surely they could have made up a portion of the amount lost by adding 1:87 rolling stock to the product line, possibly instead of 1:93.

That whole policy was quatsch. Models of coaches under 24m in length were produced in 1:87 (ie Swiss Lightsteel Coaches). UIC-X and similar coaches were produced in 1:93. This means that any modeller who cares about scale appearance could not mix many Maerklin models and had to have two to three different scales on his layout if he wanted all these models.
That is why I feel that Maerklin could have improved their results by going 1:87 and 1:100 and not by settling on 1:93.

Regards

Mike C
Offline Armando  
#261 Posted : 09 February 2009 08:19:46(UTC)
Armando

United States   
Joined: 21/07/2003(UTC)
Posts: 1,358
Location: Houston, Texas
Quote:
[size=1" face="Verdana" id="quote]quote:Originally posted by mike c
That whole policy was quatsch. Models of coaches under 24m in length were produced in 1:87 (ie Swiss Lightsteel Coaches). UIC-X and similar coaches were produced in 1:93. This means that any modeller who cares about scale appearance could not mix many Maerklin models and had to have two to three different scales on his layout if he wanted all these models.
That is why I feel that Maerklin could have improved their results by going 1:87 and 1:100 and not by settling on 1:93.


It is the R1-curse that put the jinx on Marklin in the endbiggrin
Best regards,
Armando García

Offline monster134  
#262 Posted : 09 February 2009 08:23:06(UTC)
monster134

South Africa   
Joined: 23/10/2007(UTC)
Posts: 705
Location: ,
Dont want to be funny,but i havent got a single hobby line loco.I do steam.And my guess is that if Marklin also think that only Europe counts......thats half their problem.

That same site you posted ive seen big Northerns and Mountain classes there for 360 or so euro.Full sound the toot.

But,we are missing the point.Someone mentioned that we need to run an Athearn and a Marklin together....that might get ugly.We bought 2 between Koert and myself...Koert's being the later 991 model,and that has been a troublesome loco.Decoder problems,sound going and so forth.Combine that with drivers that are too small,and never wonder again why they took a dive on that one.

From what i can see in posts made later,i think a lot of mismanagement also happened.

IMO....they should start catering for all of us,sort out the quality issues,and do some market research outside of Europe.I hate to be ignored.And tighten up management.

The most important bit though is,i sincerely hope they do rise from the ashes.Doesnt matter how we paint it,but if you are on this forum,we need them desperately.
If at any stage in the defusing of a bomb,you should see a bomb technician running,try your utmost best to keep up with him-Army magazine of preventative action.
Offline kimballthurlow  
#263 Posted : 09 February 2009 10:43:27(UTC)
kimballthurlow

Australia   
Joined: 18/03/2007(UTC)
Posts: 6,779
Location: Brisbane, Australia
For those who would like to expand the thread regarding models, prices and relative quality, desirability etc, I have started a new topic - Models - relative quality and relative price https://www.marklin-users.net/fo...ult.aspx?g=posts&t=12227

regards
Kimball
HO Scale - Märklin (ep II-III and VI, C Track, digital) - 2 rail HO (Queensland Australia, UK, USA) - 3 rail OO (English Hornby Dublo) - old clockwork O gauge - Live Steam 90mm (3.1/2 inch) gauge.
Offline TimR  
#264 Posted : 09 February 2009 10:50:21(UTC)
TimR

Indonesia   
Joined: 16/08/2007(UTC)
Posts: 1,752
Location: Jakarta
Quote:
[size=1" face="Verdana" id="quote]quote:Originally posted by mike c
It is interesting to note that the LS Models concept of manufacturing small series (500-1000) of an item seems to be working well. Successful models then reappear with alternate numbers or alternate liveries, which help defray the cost of the development of the molds.


Precisely what I think Marklin should be doing for most of their toolings ( I know this is about 1:87 coaches - but I think the same strategy could be applied in wider scope).
They should just produce certain amount of most of those items in one year, and then only produce another batch next year with different running nos or liveries. Of course for example, with new tooling models, they could probably forecast more demand in the first couple of years.

So no more confusion with one-time-series and standard items, as each production batch is unique. Customer benefits from having most standard items to be reliably in stock (no more having to wait more than 2 years before they reintroduce BR 38, etc) , as well as occassionally, one batch might unexpectedly raise in value (and not by Marklin's design with their exclusive offerings). Should do good for the sales as well... i.e. a BR 44 nut could stock up on as many 44s (with diff details/running nos/colour, etc) he/she want year over year. It will also help to invigorate models that are based on the older toolings.

Perhaps they can also personally numbered each lok sold to further add exclusivity, so that production number 1 or 8888 definately reach sky high resale value biggrin.

I don't say Marklin should stop offering exclusive items - execution of, for example, MHI wagons or 39021 Bd IV are excellent - but they should not make this as their primary sales focus.

Mass production manufacturer, properly forecasted and focused, always going to make more money than exclusive collector item producers. Marklin is, for one, a mass manufacturer. Its strategy should be able to exploit this strength and not trying to be a collector item producer.
Now collecting C-Sine models.
Offline TimR  
#265 Posted : 09 February 2009 10:56:37(UTC)
TimR

Indonesia   
Joined: 16/08/2007(UTC)
Posts: 1,752
Location: Jakarta
Quote:
[size=1" face="Verdana" id="quote]quote:Originally posted by monster134
<br />.And my guess is that if Marklin also think that only Europe counts......thats half their problem.



Ditto wink
more specifically the German market..

If they want to expand their sales, they need to start thinking about how to capture more marketshare outside EU.
Now collecting C-Sine models.
Offline mike c  
#266 Posted : 09 February 2009 11:28:25(UTC)
mike c

Canada   
Joined: 28/11/2007(UTC)
Posts: 8,271
Location: Montreal, QC
Maerklin is and has been for most of it's existence the number one manufacturer of European Model Trains. For Maerklin to go into the business of making US, Asian or African material, this would require a whole lot of new tooling and molds at a significant cost.

Modellers who wish to model RRs outside of Europe should consider asking other companies if they can provide AC versions or at least assure that their DC versions can be easily converted, ie by designing the model in such a way that a slider and decoder can be installed with little effort.

Realistically, how many units of any particular US lok would you see Maerklin selling? How many units of a Chinese or Australian lok? How many do you think they would have to move to pay for the tooling and molds?

Let's be realistic. I could see a TGV, maybe an ACELA or some other high speed train (Anybody say Russian ICE type train?) but there is not enough demand in their core market or the other regions to justify such a move.

It is sad that it is only in Europe where other manufacturers have woken up and offerred AC wheelsets and AC models.

The easiest way to combine the two is to have both radius 2 & 3 or radius 4 & 5. For one set, use Maerklin C-Track and for the other set use Trix C-Track. This way, it all looks the same, but you can run both AC and DC on the same layout, albeit not on the same tracks.

Would anybody like to see a special series like "Subways of the World"? That is perhaps an idea that could be a profitable venture aside from the regular European collection.

Regards

Mike C
Offline davemr  
#267 Posted : 09 February 2009 13:59:22(UTC)
davemr


Joined: 09/02/2009(UTC)
Posts: 983
Location: ,
If the croc set is now sold out maybe making more would be a good idea to increase sales. Small runs for collectors are fine but if there is a chance to sell more then go for it.
Being a German firm it follows that their product will be items from Germany,Switzerland,Austria etc which is why I buy their models. If you want to buy Australian trains then buy from an Australian manufacturer. It is unlikely that Marklin will manufactrure in small amounts just to please a few folk outside Europe when the firm has difficulties as it is.
davemr
Offline Gert-Jan  
#268 Posted : 09 February 2009 14:19:15(UTC)
Gert-Jan


Joined: 29/04/2005(UTC)
Posts: 777
Location: Netherlands
Quote:
[size=1" face="Verdana" id="quote]quote:Originally posted by Hemmerich

Just a short look at those revenue figures since the takeover by KB shows anything except a decline:

End 2005: 123 Mio.€
End 2006: 124 Mio.€
End 2007: 126 Mio.€
End 2008: 128 Mio.€ (not yet published in Bundesanzeiger)

...I also took the opportunity to briefly talk to Mr. Keuterman (who happened to be present at HAG) about his view of the situation.



Good info, Lutz!

I hope I am still able to obtain a version of the Unimog repro [:p]

As Mr. Keuterman should be able to give a statement about the Dutch marketshare, I am really curious about that view...
Mosty era III DB.
Offline mrmarklin  
#269 Posted : 09 February 2009 16:46:46(UTC)
mrmarklin

United States   
Joined: 27/10/2004(UTC)
Posts: 948
Location: Burney, CA
Yes, Lutz' sales information is enlightening. Basically, what buried Marklin in the last couple of years was bad management and expensive consultants. Someone smart that understands the market can take those latest numbers and manage to a profitable line. The economies of scale are certainly there. That's why there is a lot of hope. My personal dealer's sales were up 10% last year, after being on a rough road before.

I was in Doerfler's shop (Nuernburg) on Friday late afternoon Feb 6 and he did not seem worried at all, and was having a meeting with other dealers that night where of course the situation would be discussed. I actually ran into my dealer there also-slightly embarrassing meeting your dealer at another shop!!!!!

On the other hand I saw Huib Maaskant (whom many of you must know) a Dutch journalist earlier the same day, and he was all doom and gloom! But he had yet to do a scheduled interview of the people at Marklin.
From the People's Republik of Kalifornia
Offline MarioFabro  
#270 Posted : 09 February 2009 16:47:18(UTC)
MarioFabro

United States   
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Posts: 793
Location: Pittsburgh,
Quote:
[size=1" face="Verdana" id="quote]quote:Originally posted by mike c
That's 1000 Euros out of their pockets from one little guy (me). Now multiply that for the other dissatisfied modellers who have also done the same.


Mike,

You seem to have "tunnel" vision and see only your side of the argument.

I could say, in the same exact way, that the reason M* is in trouble is because they did not produce enough Italian models, since in the last two years I probably spent 2000 bucks on them from Rivarossi, Roco, Vitrains etc. I don't think this is the case.

We all model what we like and there is not one single maker that provides all the stock that we want.

Your reasoning that Roco went from a few AC locomotives to having one AC version for almost all of them is valid but, on the other hand, it should translate in more sales for the Marklin track system and a recognition of the superiority of that system. It is the old paradox: I want my competitor to do good since it means that the market is the right one to be in.

Marklin problems are many, surely not being able to serve everyone of us is part of it. I would however bet that the 1:87 vs. 1:93.5 issue is not the main reason for the crisis.
UserPostedImageUserPostedImageUserPostedImageEra IV-VI --- "If you have brains you love trains" or "When I grow up, I will play with trains"
Offline mjrallare  
#271 Posted : 09 February 2009 17:20:23(UTC)
mjrallare


Joined: 14/11/2007(UTC)
Posts: 563
Quote:
[size=1" face="Verdana" id="quote]quote:Originally posted by Hemmerich
Just a short look at those revenue figures since the takeover by KB shows anything except a decline:

End 2005: 123 Mio.€
End 2006: 124 Mio.€
End 2007: 126 Mio.€
End 2008: 128 Mio.€ (not yet published in Bundesanzeiger)

...

And to complement the picture:

End 2002: 170,5 Mio.€
End 2003: 164,4 Mio.€
End 2004: 148,5 Mio.€

As Lutz says, the problems was there before Kingsbridge took over (2006). From what I understand there was a general drop in the MRR-market in Germany. Maybe some of our German friends can help us to explain why there was such a rapid decline?

It would be hard for any company to be able to react to such swift and dramatic changes, and I guess Roco and Fleischmann didn't manage much better than Märklin.

But it has now been four years with about the same turnover for Märklin, still their losses have continued to grow. In that respect, the advisors that Kingsbridge hired (cost 40 Mio.€ 2006-08) have obviously not been very cost-efficient.

I see that this thread is now a discussion about scale, but as I said before, I think that the new owners (that we hopefully soon we'll see) will focus primarily on getting a cost-structure that goes with a 130 Mio.€ turnover...

/Torbjörn
Offline steventrain  
#272 Posted : 09 February 2009 17:38:35(UTC)
steventrain

United Kingdom   
Joined: 21/10/2004(UTC)
Posts: 31,723
Location: United Kingdom
Welcome to the forum, davemr.Smile
Large Marklinist 3- Rails Layout with CS2/MS2/Boosters/C-track/favorites Electric class E03/BR103, E18/E118, E94, Crocodiles/Steam BR01, BR03, BR05, BR23, BR44, BR50, Big Boy.
Offline frankie  
#273 Posted : 09 February 2009 18:20:36(UTC)
frankie


Joined: 27/10/2006(UTC)
Posts: 692
Location: Italy
Speculation now drifts toward Porsche: http://www.wer-kauft-wen.de/meldung/21077.html
Alessandro
I have a CS1 Reloaded!
Offline jvuye  
#274 Posted : 09 February 2009 18:57:22(UTC)
jvuye

Belgium   
Joined: 01/03/2008(UTC)
Posts: 2,883
Location: South Western France
Hi Folks
I have followed this thread with interest, but keeping my mouth shut, as I am know to have a propensity to have a big one.
No need to agonize on 1:100 scale to be the culprit of it all...
For having been there in my professional life I can tell you great companies come bigger and better out of troubled times.
I am proud the one I worked until 2001 for came out on top of everyone else in their business...and still is.
(Don't ask me which one!)
The reciprocal is true.
The People who tried to blow up the Marklin market perceived value and make a quick buck were quite inept:
1) They picked the wrong time
2) They had no clue (how do you support 50M debt on 128M revenue and how can you afford double digit M consultants fee on top of it???)
I don't know which business school they got their diploma, but I'd like to know: we should not send our kids there!
I'll shut up again: my attic is waiting, I have a layout to build
Cheers
Jacques Vuye aka Dr.Eisenbahn
Once a vandal, learned to be better and had great success!
Offline perz  
#275 Posted : 09 February 2009 19:51:55(UTC)
perz

Sweden   
Joined: 12/01/2002(UTC)
Views messages in topic : 2,578
Location: Sweden
Quote:
[size=1" face="Verdana" id="quote]quote:Originally posted by mike c
<br />
If 1:87 models are known in Germany as "shelf queens" why do I often have a very hard time finding them because they are "sold out"?

Sorry a bit off-topic, but it has happend to me several times with other things (not MRR stuff) that what I look for is "sold out". When I ask why, I get the answer: "There was no request". I.e., "sold out" means the first batch sold so slowly that the dealer didn't bother to order another batch. Don't know if it applies to 1:87 coaches though.
Offline al_pignolo  
#276 Posted : 09 February 2009 22:01:55(UTC)
al_pignolo


Joined: 30/09/2005(UTC)
Posts: 904
Location: bologna, BO
Quote:
[size=1" face="Verdana" id="quote]quote:Originally posted by MarioFabro
<br />
We all model what we like and there is not one single maker that provides all the stock that we want.


Marklin problems are many, surely not being able to serve everyone of us is part of it.



...BUT! Generally speaking, could we say that our request are more complex than 20 years ago (in terms of rolling stock needed, different approach to MRR and scale, greater detailing...) and this, added to a smaller interest from younger people, makes harder to all MRR manifacturers (even Roco, Lima/Rivarossi, Fleischmann that had their problems in the past!!) to satisfy every customer and to survive?


Regards

Pietro
Offline laalves  
#277 Posted : 09 February 2009 23:13:06(UTC)
laalves


Joined: 10/02/2004(UTC)
Posts: 2,162
Location: Portugal
Quote:
[size=1" face="Verdana" id="quote]quote:Originally posted by frankie
<br />Speculation now drifts toward Porsche: http://www.wer-kauft-wen.de/meldung/21077.html

This would be great! Porsche shares the traditional values, betting on quality and craftmanship. Plus, they have a bunch of cash and a bank. At least until 2007, not too sure how it's going today, one crisis and VW purchase afterward.
Plus, I have a 911 Turbo, so this would be a great conjunction for my own pride of ownership on both!
Offline MarioFabro  
#278 Posted : 09 February 2009 23:25:59(UTC)
MarioFabro

United States   
Joined: 16/10/2001(UTC)
Posts: 793
Location: Pittsburgh,
Quote:
[size=1" face="Verdana" id="quote]quote:Originally posted by al_pignolo
...BUT! Generally speaking, could we say that our request are more complex than 20 years ago (in terms of rolling stock needed, different approach to MRR and scale, greater detailing...)...


I fully agree with you. However, the hobby has made incredible steps forward, integrating electronics and computer control etc. etc. I think they did everything they could. The real problem is that our hobby is not a "toy" anymore.

Quote:
[size=1" face="Verdana" id="quote]quote:Originally posted by al_pignolo
....and this, added to a smaller interest from younger people, makes harder to all MRR manifacturers (even Roco, Lima/Rivarossi, Fleischmann that had their problems in the past!!) to satisfy every customer and to survive?


This is the main point. I see no kids growing up to take this hobby. I am doing my part, trying to get some younger crowd in with me when I build my lay-out.

Videogames killed (or wounded) Marklin, Roco, Rivarossi more than anything else. I keep my idea: you can completely satisfy only a few of your customers some time, or partially satisfy many of them most of the time. But you can't fully satisfy all of your customers all of the time.
UserPostedImageUserPostedImageUserPostedImageEra IV-VI --- "If you have brains you love trains" or "When I grow up, I will play with trains"
Offline dntower85  
#279 Posted : 09 February 2009 23:37:37(UTC)
dntower85

United States   
Joined: 08/01/2006(UTC)
Posts: 2,218
Location: Shady Shores, TX - USA
Quote:
[size=1" face="Verdana" id="quote]quote:Originally posted by laalves
<br />
Quote:
[size=1" face="Verdana" id="quote]quote:Originally posted by frankie
<br />Speculation now drifts toward Porsche: http://www.wer-kauft-wen.de/meldung/21077.html

This would be great! Porsche shares the traditional values, betting on quality and craftmanship. Plus, they have a bunch of cash and a bank. At least until 2007, not too sure how it's going today, one crisis and VW purchase afterward.
Plus, I have a 911 Turbo, so this would be a great conjunction for my own pride of ownership on both!

There is some great marketing possibility's too. How a bout a Store in a Store at your local Porsche dealer ship. And now you have a good distribution network for the US and other countries. Give a starter set with new car purchase. Its a very strong cross over market.
DT
Now powered by ECoS II unit#2, RocRail
era - some time in the future when the space time continuum is disrupted and ICE 3 Trains run on the same rails as the Adler and BR18's.
Offline Darren W  
#280 Posted : 09 February 2009 23:46:00(UTC)
Darren W

Canada   
Joined: 01/01/2007(UTC)
Posts: 643
Location: Alberta
It is easy to blame video games for a slowdown in model railraoding. I don't think is it video games alone. You can blame general TV and internet as well. I think the problem is more cultural shifts with the generations coming up. Maybe the model railroding industry needs to do better marketing of itself. Most people have no idea how far digital models have come in the last decade. When I went to a Marklin dealer in 2006 and he showed me a Marklin V160 with sound my jaw hit the floor and my Visa came out of my wallet. Now I am a confirmed Marklin fan.

Darren

P.S. I do enjoy my Xbox360 quite a bit. I believe in everthing in moderation. Marklin is still my #1 hobby.
Offline Goofy  
#281 Posted : 09 February 2009 23:52:22(UTC)
Goofy


Joined: 12/08/2006(UTC)
Posts: 9,320
Quote:
[size=1" face="Verdana" id="quote]quote:Originally posted by laalves
<br />Just a quick note about prices, using comparable, late construction locos:

- Märklin BR18.3, 39020, sound, metal based: 399€
- Brawa BR14, 40277, sound, metal based: 579€
- Fleischmann BR18.4, sound, plastic based: 409€
- Roco BR03 69284, sound, plastic based: 559€
- Roco BR18.4 69363, NO sound, plastic based: 319€
- Gützold BR18.0, sound, plastic based: 438€

It's up to us which one offers the best value and is adequately priced.

If one compares Atlas diesels with Märklin loks, then I suggest comparing them with a Ludmilla or Hercules. Prices are quite closer and Märklin's are metal and built to last. One needs to compare apples with apples, not apples with caviar.


I must keep you in remind here,that Brawa lok has more richer details than Marklin model you did choised like other models too...!!!
So Luis,you cannot acting like this...!

Goofy [:(!]
H0
DCC = Digital Command Control
Offline jeehring  
#282 Posted : 10 February 2009 00:52:58(UTC)
jeehring


Joined: 25/09/2003(UTC)
Posts: 2,786
Location: ,
Quote:
[size=1" face="Verdana" id="quote]quote:Originally posted by mjrallare
<br />
Quote:
[size=1" face="Verdana" id="quote]quote:Originally posted by Hemmerich
Just a short look at those revenue figures since the takeover by KB shows anything except a decline:

End 2005: 123 Mio.€
End 2006: 124 Mio.€
End 2007: 126 Mio.€
End 2008: 128 Mio.€ (not yet published in Bundesanzeiger)

...

And to complement the picture:

End 2002: 170,5 Mio.€
End 2003: 164,4 Mio.€
End 2004: 148,5 Mio.€

From what I understand there was a general drop in the MRR-market in Germany.

/Torbjörn



We should consider those numbers in terms of Market shares too !
Offline mike c  
#283 Posted : 10 February 2009 00:55:07(UTC)
mike c

Canada   
Joined: 28/11/2007(UTC)
Posts: 8,271
Location: Montreal, QC
Quote:
[size=1" face="Verdana" id="quote]quote:Originally posted by perz
<br />
Quote:
[size=1" face="Verdana" id="quote]quote:Originally posted by mike c
<br />
If 1:87 models are known in Germany as "shelf queens" why do I often have a very hard time finding them because they are "sold out"?

Sorry a bit off-topic, but it has happend to me several times with other things (not MRR stuff) that what I look for is "sold out". When I ask why, I get the answer: "There was no request". I.e., "sold out" means the first batch sold so slowly that the dealer didn't bother to order another batch. Don't know if it applies to 1:87 coaches though.


Perz,

I was not referring to "out of stock", I was referring to "no longer available". Out of stock simply means that the dealer doesn't have any. No longer available means they can't get it anymore and you have to look around until you find one.

And to the other members:

I NEVER SAID THAT THE FAILURE OF MAERKLIN TO COMPETE IN THE 1:87 SCALE WAS THE MAIN CAUSE OF THE PROBLEM, BUT THAT IT WAS ONE OF MANY COMTRIBUTING FACTORS. HOW MANY TIMES DO I HAVE TO REPEAT MYSELF?????

Regards

Mike C
Offline jeehring  
#284 Posted : 10 February 2009 01:08:48(UTC)
jeehring


Joined: 25/09/2003(UTC)
Posts: 2,786
Location: ,
Quote:
[size=1" face="Verdana" id="quote]quote:Originally posted by Hemmerich
<br />
Quote:
[size=1" face="Verdana" id="quote]quote:[i]PS: es.

The way LSM "competes" on the market is well known latest since the RailTop story.
wink



IMO what was happenning is somewhat...disgusting .[:0] This guy had quarrel with almost all of those he was linked up with


The last news I had about Rail top : they were courageously looking for another subcontractor .
I whish Railtop to succeed in relaunching their business.
Offline TimR  
#285 Posted : 10 February 2009 01:41:02(UTC)
TimR

Indonesia   
Joined: 16/08/2007(UTC)
Posts: 1,752
Location: Jakarta
<br />
Quote:
[size=1" face="Verdana" id="quote]quote:Originally posted by Hemmerich

Just a short look at those revenue figures since the takeover by KB shows anything except a decline:

End 2005: 123 Mio.€
End 2006: 124 Mio.€
End 2007: 126 Mio.€
End 2008: 128 Mio.€ (not yet published in Bundesanzeiger)



Ok, I hate to have to say this... but if we adjusted Marklin's performance to the German inflation rate between end of 2005 to 2008, Marklin's total sale actually experienced a slight decline.

In 2006 - inflation was 2% - so to maintain same level of sales, Marklin would have to sell around 125.5 million. With total sale of 124 million, in real money terms - this is a decline of around 1.2% compared to previous year.

Overall, since the end of 2005 to end of 2008 - despite the slight increase in sales, adjusted to inflation, Marklin actually loss around 1.74% of sales revenue compared to the base year 2005.

At the very least - this shown a stability in their market, but not actually a reason enough to celebrate.
This will be one of the most basic calculations that the banks looked into when they refused to extend Marklin's credit line.
Now collecting C-Sine models.
Offline perz  
#286 Posted : 10 February 2009 01:43:24(UTC)
perz

Sweden   
Joined: 12/01/2002(UTC)
Views messages in topic : 2,578
Location: Sweden
Personally I think the root of the problem dates back to the 70's. That's when Märklin and other MRR stuff started to migrate from the toy stores to the hobby stores.

Offline laalves  
#287 Posted : 10 February 2009 01:50:06(UTC)
laalves


Joined: 10/02/2004(UTC)
Posts: 2,162
Location: Portugal
Quote:
[size=1" face="Verdana" id="quote]quote:Originally posted by Goofy
<br />
Quote:
[size=1" face="Verdana" id="quote]quote:Originally posted by laalves
<br />Just a quick note about prices, using comparable, late construction locos:

- Märklin BR18.3, 39020, sound, metal based: 399€
- Brawa BR14, 40277, sound, metal based: 579€
- Fleischmann BR18.4, sound, plastic based: 409€
- Roco BR03 69284, sound, plastic based: 559€
- Roco BR18.4 69363, NO sound, plastic based: 319€
- Gützold BR18.0, sound, plastic based: 438€

It's up to us which one offers the best value and is adequately priced.

If one compares Atlas diesels with Märklin loks, then I suggest comparing them with a Ludmilla or Hercules. Prices are quite closer and Märklin's are metal and built to last. One needs to compare apples with apples, not apples with caviar.


I must keep you in remind here,that Brawa lok has more richer details than Marklin model you did choised like other models too...!!!
So Luis,you cannot acting like this...!

Goofy [:(!]

Mmmm, yes, otherwise you will punish me, right? For my terrible wrongdoing? Sorry for being such a bad boy...

BTW, how's the weather in Mars these days?
Offline TimR  
#288 Posted : 10 February 2009 01:56:50(UTC)
TimR

Indonesia   
Joined: 16/08/2007(UTC)
Posts: 1,752
Location: Jakarta
Quote:
[size=1" face="Verdana" id="quote]quote:Originally posted by mike c

I NEVER SAID THAT THE FAILURE OF MAERKLIN TO COMPETE IN THE 1:87 SCALE WAS THE MAIN CAUSE OF THE PROBLEM, BUT THAT IT WAS ONE OF MANY COMTRIBUTING FACTORS. HOW MANY TIMES DO I HAVE TO REPEAT MYSELF?????

Regards

Mike C


Marklin do have a problem in declining sales re my post above. This despite investments in SDS, etc, seems so far failed to have driven up more sales.

Regardless of whether we agree with what Mike was saying or not (about 1/87), he did pointed out his view on how Marklin could possibly drives up their sales by entering this precise scale market. Hey, if Marklin could forecast that demand of line up of 1/87 items at X amount of cost is profitable (or can be achieved at optimal cost to extra new toolings), I can't see why this is a bad suggestion. After all, they do have access to Trix - which gradually increasing their portion of 1/87 items.

To deny that they are in trouble is ignorance. They do need to do something to cut their (unnecessary) costs down and drive up their sales back up.

So let's continue our discussion, hearsays, wild suggestions, etc in regards to this topic wink.
Now collecting C-Sine models.
Offline jeehring  
#289 Posted : 10 February 2009 02:35:18(UTC)
jeehring


Joined: 25/09/2003(UTC)
Posts: 2,786
Location: ,
Quote:
[size=1" face="Verdana" id="quote]quote:Originally posted by TimR
<br /><br />
Quote:
[size=1" face="Verdana" id="quote]quote:Originally posted by Hemmerich

Just a short look at those revenue figures since the takeover by KB shows anything except a decline:

End 2005: 123 Mio.€
End 2006: 124 Mio.€
End 2007: 126 Mio.€
End 2008: 128 Mio.€ (not yet published in Bundesanzeiger)



Ok, I hate to have to say this... but if we adjusted Marklin's performance to the German inflation rate between end of 2005 to 2008, Marklin's total sale actually experienced a slight decline.

In 2006 - inflation was 2% - so to maintain same level of sales, Marklin would have to sell around 125.5 million. With total sale of 124 million, in real money terms - this is a decline of around 1.2% compared to previous year.

Overall, since the end of 2005 to end of 2008 - despite the slight increase in sales, adjusted to inflation, Marklin actually loss around 1.74% of sales revenue compared to the base year 2005.

At the very least - this shown a stability in their market, but not actually a reason enough to celebrate.
This will be one of the most basic calculations that the banks looked into when they refused to extend Marklin's credit line.


Untill 2007 Fleischman's turnover were going down years after years .
It starts to be stabilized in 2007 ...

Offline laalves  
#290 Posted : 10 February 2009 02:47:52(UTC)
laalves


Joined: 10/02/2004(UTC)
Posts: 2,162
Location: Portugal
If you search "Porsche" in stummi, you'll find a lot of references, one of them:

http://dmm.travel/news/panorama/20700/

If tru, this could bring very interesting prospects. And with Wiedeking being one the top managers around, they could do away with consultants swallowing 40m€ in the last 4 years.

Offline Tony  
#291 Posted : 10 February 2009 08:23:14(UTC)
Tony

South Africa   
Joined: 18/09/2004(UTC)
Posts: 726
Location: Cape Town
This would be a really good thing. Smile

As many of the wealthy locals have Porsches and are Porsche mad... - these owners could get into the MRR hobby as well. Currently no one in the region really cares much for MRR - No dealers, no intetest, no nothing.. But if MRR is associated with Porsche in some way, this may be an excellent catalyst, (if marketed properly) to get the locals intetested and buy heaps of M products.
It is the ideal new market - the guys still have cash, mostly have huge houses (plenty of space for layouts, even one gauge layouts) and we all spend a heap of time indoors because of the weather. So there is the perfect recipe for a possible lucrative new M market.[^][^]

Regards Tony
Offline mike c  
#292 Posted : 10 February 2009 10:29:15(UTC)
mike c

Canada   
Joined: 28/11/2007(UTC)
Posts: 8,271
Location: Montreal, QC
Getting in on the whole Porsche thing?

Would this mean that "hobby" models would be available from VW and Trix from Audi? Maybe the stuff made in Hungary could be marketed by Skoda?biggrinbiggrinbiggrin

Regards

Mike C
Offline mvd71  
#293 Posted : 10 February 2009 10:48:20(UTC)
mvd71

New Zealand   
Joined: 09/08/2008(UTC)
Posts: 1,946
Location: Auckland,
Quote:
[size=1" face="Verdana" id="quote]quote:Would this mean that "hobby" models would be available from VW and Trix from Audi? Maybe the stuff made in Hungary could be marketed by Skoda?


Now your talkingbiggrinbiggrinbiggrin
Offline mjrallare  
#294 Posted : 10 February 2009 12:08:56(UTC)
mjrallare


Joined: 14/11/2007(UTC)
Posts: 563
Another link from Stummi's. A statement have been made from Porsche that they aren't a potential buyer of Märklin:

http://www.suedwest-aktiv.de/la.../4137242/artikel.php#car

But who knows... Maybe this statement is just part of the negotiations?

/Torbjörn
Offline atilla  
#295 Posted : 10 February 2009 16:38:19(UTC)
atilla


Joined: 13/11/2008(UTC)
Posts: 381
Location: Richmond, Virginia
My money was always on Santa Clause and the Tooth Fairy.
Offline SRB  
#296 Posted : 10 February 2009 20:59:07(UTC)
SRB


Joined: 19/03/2006(UTC)
Posts: 162
Location: ,
Quote:
[size=1" face="Verdana" id="quote]quote:
Ok, I hate to have to say this... but if we adjusted Marklin's performance to the German inflation rate between end of 2005 to 2008, Marklin's total sale actually experienced a slight decline.


…And 2008 include LGB, so in real terms there seems to be a decline in sales.[:(]

I think the whole business is in trouble these days. Who isn’t?

Hopefully there is light at the end of the tunnel for big M*– and a new owner with respect of the German manufacturing tradition. Porsche just OK for me.Cool

Regards SRB
IB; C-track; DSB and SBB ep. III-V
Offline perz  
#297 Posted : 10 February 2009 21:23:59(UTC)
perz

Sweden   
Joined: 12/01/2002(UTC)
Views messages in topic : 2,578
Location: Sweden
Quote:
[size=1" face="Verdana" id="quote]quote:Originally posted by mjrallare
<br />Maybe some of our German friends can help us to explain why there was such a rapid decline?

I'm not from Germany but I have visited Germany many times over the years. Some time around 2003 Germany had some kind of home-brewn economic crisis. You could read about it in the Swedish newspapers, but it became really appearent when you met the people there in the summer of 2003. Not just one person I met said something like: "We are still going, but for how long ?" It was really a doom-of-the-nation sentiment. Germany have recovered since then, but it does not automatically bring back sales to Märklin.
Offline davemr  
#298 Posted : 10 February 2009 22:11:23(UTC)
davemr


Joined: 09/02/2009(UTC)
Posts: 983
Location: ,
…And 2008 include LGB, so in real terms there seems to be a decline in sales.

....................................................................

SRB is right in saying the above. Figures being quoted here mean nothing on their own and only like with like can be compared.
Another interesting point mentioned. was that the borrowing cannot be serviced with the sales less costs. We would need to see the accounts to have any understanding of the position.
I was going to order a Brawa Loco but almost fell off my seat when I saw the price maybe that is why they are not in trouble. (I think)
davemr
Offline perz  
#299 Posted : 11 February 2009 00:30:44(UTC)
perz

Sweden   
Joined: 12/01/2002(UTC)
Views messages in topic : 2,578
Location: Sweden
Some comments on the scale discussion and its possible connection to Märklin's problems:



I know maybe 5 serious model railroaders, apart from those I have learnt to know through this forum. Of these 5, 2 are N-scalers, 2 are H0 2-railers since forever, and one is a 2-railer who converted from Märklin in the 70's or 80's. They are mostly into American models although they have European models as well.

I know a bunch of people who have a small model railroad which spends most of its time stowed away. Sometimes some of those people take it out and build temporary carpet layouts. A few of them have set up semi-permanent layouts now and then, often low-effort layouts. All of those people have Märklin except one, who has a Pico set.

I also know a lot of people that don't have a model railroad but say they would like one. "When I get a larger apartment". "When the kids are big enough to enjoy it". "When my economic situation gets better". "When I get the time". For all of those there is Märklin and only Märklin. They know of nothing else.

So where is Märklin's market: Have the carpetbahn guys buy an extra lok and some extra track. Have those only-dreamers go and buy a starter set. That's where the market is. But Märklin does not reach that market because Märklin is not out there. They are in the hobby stores and on the Internet, not in the toy stores anymore. It suites us who are already in, but you don't get new customers that way.



The local toy store has started to sell Märklin. Again. I used to buy some Märklin from them 12-15 years ago, before EU and the common market made it easier to buy directly from Germany. I got tired of the local toy store. They had very little in stock. They promised to order thing for me, but often the items never showed up. It was always "next week". The store got tired of Märklin and its Swedish distributor, because items they had ordered showed up very randomly. I once happened to see what they paid for the things. Their margin was below 10%. And they were still a lot more expensive than the German web shops. Actually they paid prices well over what the German web shops sold the same items for.

As already said, the same store has started to sell Märklin again. I don't understand it. It is only behind the counter, not exposed in any way. They have very few items. Prices are ridiculous. They know nothing at all about it, they hardly know that they have it. It is out there again, physically, but to what use ? I go there now and then (it is generally a good toy store), ask for the price of a lok or a starter set, tell them they are too expensive. That's it. I can see that they have the items on the shelf, because I look for it. But who else would ever observe it ?

Of all other Swedish toy (not hobby) stores I have visited the last 5 years exactly none has had any Märklin or other MRR at all.

Don't blame the Video games. Märklin has to go out there and fight for the kids' and parents' attention!



In comparison to that, I think 1:100 or 1:87 is a very marginal question, although I share Mike's opinion that it is better to have a 1:100 and a 1:87 version than a 1:93 version that won't really satisfy any of the customer categories. It is better for the customers at least. If it is really better for Märklin, I don't know.

If you raise it from the question of this specific example, Mike is proposing "segmentation", and that is generally a good idea for a company with Märklins market position. The problem with explaining a principle with an example is that people attack the example and ignore the principle.
Offline mjrallare  
#300 Posted : 11 February 2009 00:59:37(UTC)
mjrallare


Joined: 14/11/2007(UTC)
Posts: 563
I was going to post a link to yet another article about Märklin in the "Handelsblatt".

But first I would like to say that I agree with what you have written above Per.
Your comments about swedish toy stores are spot on. It was the swedish importer Brio who drove Märklin away from the general toy stores with their ridiculous pricing policy. If the hobby stores hadn't been allowed to buy directly from Märklin, you would not have been able to find even a piece of track in any swedish store today.
But sweden is maybe not such a big market... How is the situation in Germany? Is it similar?

And back to the article in the Handelsblatt:
http://www.handelsblatt....en-fuer-maerklin;2147949

Apparently there are many who are interested in buying Märklin, but the group construction that Kingsbridge have built up around Märklin is very complicated and might make a sale more difficult than it ought to be. There is a company named "Adler Toy" that apparently are the owners of the Märklin group. So there might be some legal trouble ahead regarding the rights to names and so on. Let's hope for the best...

/Torbjörn
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